-- a certain number of opinions to current economic situation, macroscopical policy and proposal
As the developing country, obtain employment and grow to answer in great majority period the goal with more first park. At present inflation already was not the focus of macroscopical economy, should not become a worry again monetary policy by constrictive the obstacle that turns to dilate. Probably the adjustment that macroscopical adjusting control includes monetary policy orientaton already lost optimal opportunity, monetary policy may want dilate of ground of bold and resolute to just be met be successful.
The near future, american economy is farther economy of exasperate, international also becomes accordingly danger is as unripe as annulus. Be in originally " strategic good luck period " Chinese economy faces great test likewise. Below this kind of situation, whether benefit of consider the situation, hasten avoids kill, had held the direction of macroscopical adjusting control, strength and rhythm, become key of victory or defeat. Act on know the character of all without exception, learning attitude that speak all, we are opposite sincerely China's current economic situation, macroscopical adjusting control especially monetary policy offers the following opinion and proposal.
1, the 4 big targets of macroscopical adjusting control (stability of economic growth, sufficient obtain employment, price and balance of payments are balanced) should give attention to two or morethings, but as the developing country, "Developing ability is good sense " , obtain employment and grow to answer in great majority period the goal with more first park. Be in especially contradictory and fascicular transition period, economy grows the lubricant that serves as harmonious society, its meaning is more incomparable. Current, chinese town is actual unemployment rate, if science is calculated, should be in at least 10% above, if do not have amortize action of the country, still meet taller. Settlement method is the first place that will raise obtain employment to be put in target of macroscopical economic policy, of monetary policy make the narrow target that should abandon considering inflation only.
2, epicycle is macroscopical since adjusting control, monetary policy took the lead in making response to economic overheat 2003, made fine tuning, can weighs a person of foresight. But the four seasons was spent last year, global economy and Chinese economy already got lost next slippery cycle, this moment, the macroscopical adjusting control that includes monetary policy inside should press the way that returns cycle to adjust constrictive direction originally, however macroscopical adjusting control puts forward " double prevent " , monetary policy puts forward first " constrictive " , we think, all be worth deliberate on directional judgement.
Previous12 Next